Tribe take on Monarchs for CAA title

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/08/2010 - Richmond, VA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The William & Mary Tribe are one win away from claiming their first-ever Colonial Athletic Association Tournament title, but for that to happen they will have to get past the Old Dominion Monarchs this evening at the Richmond Coliseum.

The Tribe advanced to their second CAA title game in three years with a thrilling, 47-45 victory over Northeastern on Sunday. William & Mary opened the tournament with a first-round bye and then defeated James Madison, 70-65, in quarterfinal action.

As for the Monarchs, they captured the regular-season title and the top seed with an impressive 15-3 mark in CAA action. Old Dominion also received a first-round bye before taking care of business against Towson, 86-56, in the quarterfinals. ODU had a tough time Sunday against VCU, but the Monarchs were able to post a 73-69 overtime victory over the Rams, giving themselves a shot at a fifth CAA Tournament crown and first since 2005.

The Monarchs defeated William & Mary twice this season and overall Old Dominion has dominated the Tribe, winning 62 of the 77 all-time meetings.

It was not a buzzer-beating shot, but it definitely was a highlight basket for David Schneider, as the guard drilled a three-point basket with 37 seconds left in the second half to give the Tribe their eventual, 47-45 victory over the Northeastern Huskies in semifinal play of the CAA Tournament. Oddly enough, it was the only basket made by Schneider, who finished the game 1-of-9 from the field. Not one player finished in double figures for William & Mary, as the team shot just 37.0 percent from the floor. Danny Sumner led the way with eight points, while Marcus Kitts tallied seven, to go along with nine rebounds. Schneider only connected on one basket in the win, but the guard has been the most consistent player throughout the season for William & Mary and comes into this title game averaging 15.6 ppg, to go along with 6.0 rpg. Quinn McDowell is contributing 14.1 ppg on the season, while Sumner is netting 10.2 ppg.

The Monarchs showed that they are a fighting team, as Old Dominion clawed its way back from a 12-point deficit against VCU on Sunday. Old Dominion never gave up against the Rams and eventually forced the game into overtime where the Monarchs proceeded to go flawless from the floor, connecting on all four of their field goal attempts and both of their free throws. Gerald Lee tied a career-high with 26 points, while Ben Finney and Marsharee Neely posted 11 points apiece. Old Dominion shot a respectable 49.2 percent from the floor, and dominated play on the glass by outrebounding VCU by a 44-27 margin. Lee has been the only consistent scoring threat on the season for ODU, as the guard is netting 14.8 ppg, to go along with 5.0 rpg. However, what has made the Monarchs so dangerous has been their play defensively, as Old Dominion has held the opposition to just 57.3 ppg.

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Big Ten Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa

Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.

Should be in:

Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?

Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.

Work left to do:

Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.

Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.

Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.

Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.

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